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Super League · Greece
OFI Crete vs PAOK
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
LostX2 (Draw/Away)
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.26
Best price found
1.17
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 80% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 3.1 (OFI Crete 1.1, PAOK 2.0).
- Fair price: 1.26. Best price found: 1.17.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
OFI Crete1.09
PAOK2.04
Total 3.13 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 20% | 5.10 | 4.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 | 3.65 |
| Away win | 56% | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Home or draw | 45% | 2.23 | 2.07 |
| Draw or away | 80% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | 1.98 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.