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Super League · Greece
Olympiakos vs Kalamata
Full time: 5-0
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Best price found
1.14
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 71% to 72%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (Olympiakos 2.0, Kalamata 0.5).
- Fair price: 1.19. Best price found: 1.14.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Olympiakos1.97
Kalamata0.53
Total 2.50 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Draw | 10% | 10.06 | 8.25 |
| Away win | 3% | 33.90 | 21.08 |
| Home or draw | 94% | 1.06 | 1.02 |
| Draw or away | 16% | 6.25 | 5.98 |
| Home or away | 90% | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | 1.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | 2.43 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.57 |
| Both teams score | 33% | 2.99 | 2.69 |
| Not both teams score | 67% | 1.50 | 1.42 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.