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Serie B · Italy
Palermo vs Carrarese
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Best price found
1.14
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 75% to 76%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Palermo 1.8, Carrarese 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.19. Best price found: 1.14.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Palermo1.82
Carrarese0.90
Total 2.71 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 66% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.07 | 4.45 |
| Away win | 15% | 6.78 | 5.77 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Draw or away | 35% | 2.82 | 2.63 |
| Home or away | 80% | 1.25 | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 | 2.45 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.58 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.27 | 2.08 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.