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3. Liga · Germany
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Köln
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Preußen Münster 1.2, Fortuna Köln 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Preußen Münster1.24
Fortuna Köln0.92
Total 2.16 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 | – |
| Away win | 27% | 3.77 | – |
| Home or draw | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Draw or away | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.79 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.77 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.