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Botola Pro · Morocco
Renaissance Zemamra vs Fath Union Sport
Full time: 0-1
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.22
Take at least
1.28
- Our models: 81% to 82%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Renaissance Zemamra 1.0, Fath Union Sport 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.22. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.28 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Renaissance Zemamra1.04
Fath Union Sport1.16
Total 2.21 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 34% | 2.93 | 2.63 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.14 | 2.80 |
| Away win | 34% | 2.93 | 2.63 |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Draw or away | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Home or away | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.64 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.51 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.87 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.