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Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RFC Liege vs Patro Eisden
Full time: 2-3
Our pick
LostUnder 4.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (RFC Liege 1.4, Patro Eisden 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
RFC Liege1.36
Patro Eisden1.41
Total 2.77 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 36% | 2.78 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.92 | – |
| Away win | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.63 | – |
| Draw or away | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.32 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.28 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.