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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave vs Famalicao
Full time: 0-4
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
76%
Fair price
1.31
Best price found
1.25
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 76% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (Rio Ave 1.0, Famalicao 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.31. Best price found: 1.25.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Rio Ave0.98
Famalicao1.34
Total 2.33 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 25% | 3.94 | 3.60 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | 3.28 |
| Away win | 47% | 2.15 | 2.03 |
| Home or draw | 53% | 1.89 | 1.76 |
| Draw or away | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.20 | 2.07 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.24 | 3.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.97 | 1.83 |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.03 | 1.89 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.