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Liga Profesional · Argentina
River Plate vs Racing Club
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
WonHT 1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.5 (River Plate 1.6, Racing Club 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
River Plate1.64
Racing Club0.88
Total 2.52 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Away win | 19% | 5.22 | – |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Draw or away | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Both teams score | 45% | 2.22 | 2.05 |
| Not both teams score | 55% | 1.82 | 1.70 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.