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Eliteserien · Norway
Sarpsborg 08 vs Aalesund
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.29
Best price found
1.20
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 78% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 81%.
- Expected goals: 3.7 (Sarpsborg 08 2.4, Aalesund 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.29. Best price found: 1.20.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sarpsborg 082.37
Aalesund1.36
Total 3.73 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 51% | 1.95 | 1.84 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.38 | 3.95 |
| Away win | 26% | 3.85 | 3.50 |
| Home or draw | 74% | 1.35 | 1.26 |
| Draw or away | 49% | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.36 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.36 | 3.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Both teams score | 69% | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Not both teams score | 31% | 3.23 | 2.88 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.