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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
SC Beira-Mar vs UD Sousense
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.24
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (SC Beira-Mar 2.2, UD Sousense 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.24 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
SC Beira-Mar2.21
UD Sousense1.14
Total 3.35 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 62% | 1.61 | 1.50 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.52 | 3.90 |
| Away win | 16% | 6.34 | 5.25 |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Draw or away | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Home or away | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.52 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.