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La Liga · Spain
Sevilla vs Osasuna
Our pick
78% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.29
Best price found
1.24
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 78% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 74%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Sevilla 1.4, Osasuna 1.1).
- Fair price: 1.29. Best price found: 1.24.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sevilla1.44
Osasuna1.15
Total 2.58 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.00 | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | 3.50 |
| Away win | 22% | 4.51 | 4.70 |
| Home or draw | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Draw or away | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.24 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.45 | 3.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.72 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.06 | 1.92 |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.81 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.