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National League North / South · England
Spalding United vs Brackley Town
Our pick
82% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.2 (Spalding United 1.5, Brackley Town 0.7).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Spalding United1.47
Brackley Town0.70
Total 2.18 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 | – |
| Away win | 18% | 5.64 | – |
| Home or draw | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Draw or away | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.69 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Both teams score | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Not both teams score | 61% | 1.64 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.