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Czech Liga · Czech Republic
Sparta Prague vs Slovacko
Full time: 5-1
Our pick
LostHT Under 2.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 85%.
- Expected goals: 3.0 (Sparta Prague 2.3, Slovacko 0.7).
- Fair price: 1.18. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sparta Prague2.33
Slovacko0.67
Total 3.00 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Draw | 17% | 5.78 | – |
| Away win | 8% | 11.78 | – |
| Home or draw | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Draw or away | 26% | 3.88 | – |
| Home or away | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Both teams score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
| Not both teams score | 48% | 2.06 | 1.91 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.