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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu
Full time: 1-2
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.16
Best price found
1.09
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 86% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 89%.
- Expected goals: 3.6 (Sporting CP 2.9, Academico Viseu 0.7).
- Fair price: 1.16. Best price found: 1.09.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sporting CP2.94
Academico Viseu0.68
Total 3.62 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Draw | 14% | 7.07 | 6.14 |
| Away win | 7% | 13.66 | 10.81 |
| Home or draw | 90% | 1.11 | 1.04 |
| Draw or away | 24% | 4.13 | 3.87 |
| Home or away | 86% | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 | 2.57 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.68 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.05 | 1.91 |
| Not both teams score | 51% | 1.95 | 1.82 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.