← All predictions
Pro League · Belgium
St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge
Full time: 5-2
Our pick
WonHT Under 2.5
Chance
87%
Fair price
1.15
Take at least
1.21
- Our models: 86% to 87%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (St. Gilloise 2.1, Cercle Brugge 0.7).
- Fair price: 1.15. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.21 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
St. Gilloise2.11
Cercle Brugge0.73
Total 2.84 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Draw | 19% | 5.26 | – |
| Away win | 12% | 8.57 | – |
| Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Draw or away | 31% | 3.26 | – |
| Home or away | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | 1.99 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.