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Scottish Championship · Scotland
Stenhousemuir vs Dunfermline
Our pick
80% chanceHT Under 1.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.24
Take at least
1.31
- Our models: 80% to 81%.
- Expected goals: 1.8 (Stenhousemuir 0.9, Dunfermline 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.24. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.31 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Stenhousemuir0.88
Dunfermline0.92
Total 1.79 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 31% | 3.19 | – |
| Draw | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Away win | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Home or draw | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Draw or away | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Home or away | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.73 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.29 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams score | 36% | 2.77 | – |
| Not both teams score | 64% | 1.57 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.