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Premier League · England
Sunderland vs Leeds
Full time: 0-0
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
77%
Fair price
1.29
Best price found
1.24
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 77% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 78%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Sunderland 1.0, Leeds 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.29. Best price found: 1.24.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Sunderland1.04
Leeds1.35
Total 2.40 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 32% | 3.10 | 3.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Away win | 38% | 2.60 | 2.68 |
| Home or draw | 61% | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Draw or away | 68% | 1.46 | 1.37 |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.28 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.42 | 3.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.77 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.24 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 1.93 | 1.81 |
| Not both teams score | 48% | 2.07 | 1.93 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.