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Serie B · Italy
Vicenza vs Modena
Our pick
79% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
79%
Fair price
1.26
Take at least
1.33
- Our models: 79%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (Vicenza 1.2, Modena 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.26. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.33 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Vicenza1.17
Modena1.17
Total 2.34 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30% | 3.39 | 3.17 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | 3.55 |
| Away win | 44% | 2.26 | 2.14 |
| Home or draw | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.79 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.94 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.